Surprisingly, the Presidential election is still
undecided. With Bush and
Gore each having 49% of the popular vote and splitting the electoral
college,
only two states, Oregon and Florida, are still undecided. Florida is
the
deciding state, winning it would give Bush 271 votes and Gore 285
votes.
But the voting there was too close (within a couple thousand votes out
of
six million cast), so according to Florida law the votes must be
recounted.
I have a few observations. For one, there were several close races so
for
the 50% of the people who didn't vote, your vote would have counted.
It's
amazing to think that if only one percent more people voted for a
candidate
(a matter of a few thousand votes in some states) they would have won
the
state instead of their opponent. Correspondingly, the votes cast for
Ralph
Nader did cost Gore a few states.
Nader only got about 3% of the popular vote, failing to reach his goal
of 5%
But it may have cost Gore the election. And that's the way it should
be.
Obviously Gore was not appealing the section of voters that voted for
Nader,
and he might have gotten those votes by supporting some of Nader's
Green Party
issues. That's how politics work, even minorities can have a certain
amount of
power. Of course, if Bush does win it's sort of like cutting off your
nose to
spite your face, since Bush is much less "Green" than Gore.
We can also look at the Reform Party candidate, Pat Buchanan, who
received
less than 1/2 of 1 percent of the popular vote. This is the party that
Ross
Perot founded, the party that garnered 20% of the popular vote a couple
of
elections ago. Now, with Perot ousted and a decidely more radical
approach,
the Reform Party once again returns to the slimy muck that mires all
political
third parties in the US.
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If Bush does win Florida, he will be elected without
having the popular vote.
As I was watching the election coverage some analyst commented that
this would
be another strike against the electoral college and that it should be
deleted
from the process as an anachronism. I don't agree. Even if Bush doesn't
get
the popular vote, he still has a heck of a lot of votes. It's not as if
getting another couple hundred thousand votes pushes you suddenly from
not
having the popular vote to having a "mandate from the people". A
mandate from
the people is if you win 60% of the popular vote and capture every
electoral
vote.
As for the electoral college itself, I do not want to see it go away.
If the
Presidential Election is solely based on a popular vote, it really
makes the
states much less relevant. Right now, with most states awarding
electoral
votes based on a winner-takes-all principle, states have more political
clout
as a state. Realize that I come from California, which has 54 electoral
votes,
more than New York (33) or Texas (32) or any two other states in the
Union.
Winning California is a big deal, and it means that candidates have to
placate
us a bit. I guess with the current system, it is the states, not the
people,
who elect the President. Going to a popular vote would destroy most of
that
influence.
As for the local elections, looks like Measure K and L both lost.
Measure K
was a bond measure for improving the Contra Costa Community Colleges
while
Measure L was a tax increase to support Contra Costa Libraries. They
needed
2/3ths of the vote and both were narrowly defeated, with K getting
63.0% and L
getting 65.8% of the votes. At least for K, Prop 39 passed so next time
such
a measure will only need 55% of the votes.
For the state propositions, half of them passed or failed decisively,
implying
a mandate from the voters. Prop 33 allowing Legislators to participate
in the
state government retirement fund didn't pass with a 61.1% of No votes.
Prop 38,
school vouchers, also failed decisively with 70.7% No votes. Prop 36,
which
prescribes drug treatment instead of incarceration, passed with 60.8%
of the
votes. Prop 32, the Veteran's Bond Act, also passed with 67.2% of the
votes.
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