IEEE Spectrum September 2001 issue is pretty good. I
think I read it cover
to cover, which even for Spectrum (which I like quite a bit) is
unusual. I
like the new format, where there are more reader-submitted editorials
in the
beginning. We are talking about engineers and they have cogent and
well-
reasoned arguments, even if I don't agree with some of them.
The first editorial is "An Engineer's View of Venture Capitalists". It
does
not paint them in the best light, but then again VCs don't have the
same
priorities that engineers have. They need to make money, don't like
taking
big risks unless everyone else is doing it, and are very controlling.
Still,
if you can't raise a few million through friends and your own
resources, a
VC may be the only option. You just have to be careful.
Next we have "Congress Needs Nonpartisan Advice on Science,
Technology".
Congress used to have the Office of Technology Assessment, which was
closed
in 1995 -- I remember reading that news and being a bit worried. The
OTA was
slow and perhaps biased, reasons for its disbanding. Now Congress
expects
"experts" from each side of an argument to present their very biased
views.
The same kind of adversarial system used in our courts, though it
doesn't
work if only one side has good representation, such as privacy issues.
My take is that Congress does depend too much on lobbyists and letter
writing
to make their decisions. They don't have time to properly research
every
issue, so they have to base their decisions either based on
recommendations
from their staff or from being swayed by what essentially is political
advertising. You need more impartial experts who work for Congress. Or
you
need Congress to do less so that they have more time -- less Federal
government, perhaps more state and local government. It's not an easy
answer
because people and groups and companies seem to want more and more laws
and
want government to fix everything for them. If people were more
self-reliant,
you would need less government, which would mean more energy devoted by
our
government to the important issues rather than trivial matters.
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"News Analysys" is the next section. Solar powered wing,
a wing with a bigger
wingspan than a 747, took off and after the better part of a day
reached an
altitude of 23 247 meters, a world record, beating the public SR-71
record
(c'mon, I'm sure the SR-71 could fly much higher than the government
admitted). Some new transistor technologies, ho hum. A short item on
ratifying the Kyoto Protocols, which the US refuses to sign.
Interestingly,
it points out that with the US out of the picture, it gives countries
like
Japan more leverage for concessions.
The Kyoto Protocols seem to be much like the emission standards some
states
have, where you have pollution credits and if you don't pollute as much
you
can sell your credits to another company. All sensible and I agree with
them.
What I don't agree with is the statement that pollution equals higher
temperatures equals global climate change for the worse. The problem I
have
with that analysis is that it's not really proven yet. Mostly we don't
have
enough data of what can cause temperature change (maybe it's natural)
and
what will happen if the global temperature goes up or down. Now, it's
still
a good idea to control pollution, but I don't want the reason to be
this
loosely (scientifically speaking) correlated set of observations to be
the
reason why people do it.
A couple of biotechnology news items that I don't really care to
understand.
Russia and China getting cozy, with China buying quite a bit of Russian
military hardware and expertise. Makes sense, since to both countries,
the
US is the bigger threat. Hey, I'll be the first (or second or third or
three
millionth) person to say that a US-controlled world would probably be
better
than if any other country did it. But I can understand that other
countries
wouldn't want that, no matter how nice it would be. Self-government is
cherised by a lot of people. So a pro-western world would not really be
good
news for Russia and China, historical enemies that they are. Note that
one
of the provisions of their pact is that China won't try to annex
Russian
territory for 20 years.
Last news item is Congress may offer relief to the suckers who
exercised
their stock options and now owe huge taxes on worthless stock. The law
has
it that when you exercise your stock options (i.e. actually buy them),
the
difference between the exercise price and the current market price is
taxed
at 28% (the IRS taxes the corporation for the exercise price, so the
full
value of the stock sale is taxed). Now, if you do that, keeping the
stock,
and then the stock tanks, you suddenly owe taxes for money you never
earned.
Tough situation to be in, but I'm thinking you shouldn't exercise your
stock
options until you have to, and when you do make sure you get some cash
out
of it. It's just people being too greedy, in my opinion, and now the US
government has to bail them out. I'm so callous.
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