The NFL Playoffs start tomorrow, so it's time once again
to look at the
playoff picture and predict who's going to win this week. The first
game
of Saturday is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the Philadelphia Eagles.
Tampa
Bay is the wildcard team in the NFC, so at first glance they might seem
to
be the decided underdogs. But, after starting out badly, the Buccaneers
won
their last few games to make it to the playoffs. The Bucs are a good
defensive team and with Brad Johnson they have an ok passing game.
Still,
the Eagles are playing at home and have a good offense lead by Donovan
McNabb. Also, there's the oft-trotted out statistic that the Bucs have
never
won a fame when the temperature is below 40 degrees Fahrenheit. But I
still
think the Bucs will win in a close game.
The second game pits the New York Jets at the Oakland Raiders. The
thing I
remember about the Jets is in 1986, the first year I starting watching
football games, the Jets were 10-1 with the best record in the league.
And
then one of the analysts (I know who it is but I don't remember his
name),
said that the Jets were a soft team which could easily lose the rest of
their
games. Sure enough, the Jets lost their last five games, still made it
into
the playoffs, and promptly lost their playoff game.
Since then the Jets are a historically bad December team. And this year
is
no exception. They started out well and faded at the end. Still, they
didn't
fade as bad as the Oakland Raiders, who have lost their last three
games.
It's a good thing Oakland was in a bad division, otherwise they could
have
been a wild-card team. And the thing is, the Raiders didn't lose
dramatically
or play poorly. In those three loses the Raiders just didn't play like
they
wanted to win. Very lackadaisical and they lost to teams they shouldn't
have,
like the Jets last week. I have to believe that the Raiders are due to
break
out of their doldrums and demolish the Jets.
Sunday's games begin with the San Francisco 49'ers at the Green Bay
Packers.
San Francisco is one of the surprise teams, finishing 12-4 when last
year
they were well under 0.500. So we shouldn't be disappointed that the
Niners
lost the game against Dallas and therefore lost home field advantage in
this
matchup. They have an excellent passing and running game and about an
average
defense that will only get better next year.
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Green Bay though is going to be a tough opponent. Not
only are they playing
at home in the cold, where the Packers are great and at least they're
used
to the weather, but they're going in confident. Bret Favre is a great
quarterback. Ahman Green is an excellent running back. The Packer is
also
good though not great. Really, Green Bay and San Francisco have similar
teams
in many respects, and it's probably going to come down to Green Bay's
home
field advantage. So unfortunately I think that the Packers will win.
The last game of the weekend matches up the hated Baltimore Ravens at
the
Miami Dolphins. I still don't like the Ravens because at the end of
last
year and during the playoffs, their defense got off several cheap shots
at
opposing quarterbacks, knocking a couple of them out of the game. This
year
they acquired Elvis Grbac, late of the 49'ers and Kansas City Chiefs.
Now,
Grbac is a good quarterback and definitely an upgrade from Trent
Dilfer, and
yet he's had a bad year. And I guess that was one of the problems with
Grbac.
Good on paper but you could pressure him into making bad decisions. The
Ravens still have an excellent defense that will keep them in the game.
Meanwhile, the Miami Dolphins faded a bit and missed being the
divisional
champions. I like Dave Wannstedt, late of the Chicago Bears. A
defensive
coach who has turned the Dolphins into a defensive team. A good running
game
behind Lamar Smith. Jay Fiedler is an average quarterback but at least
he
doesn't get rattled as easily as Grbac. This game will be a defensive
battle
that will come down to who makes less mistakes. Who makes less
turnovers,
penalties, special teams miscues. I do hope Miami wins.
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